"For every action there's an equally opposite reaction."- Newton's Third Law of Physics
I'd like to talk for a moment about a couple of scientists. One of them is the most well-known, and well-respected environmentalists in the world, Dr David Suzuki. The other is the most well-known, and well-respected gerontologist, Dr Aubrey de Grey.
Accordng to Dr Suzuki, "the debate is over" regarding global warming, and he's right. In the February 28th issue of NewScientist, the lead article graphically spelled out what we can expect over the next 40-90 years from global warming. We can expect a massive desert that will extend from 30 degrees south latitude to 30 degrees north latitude. That means that pretty much all of South America, Central America, the US, Asia, Africa, and Southern Europe are going to become one huge uninhabitable sand pit. This is going to happen because the planet is going to get warmer by 4 degrees celcius. Most marine life will become extinct because of rising carbon dioxide levels in the oceans. Most of the animals that you watch on the Discovery Channel will be a memory in a few generations. The worst prediction is that by 2099, the human population will only be a billion people. It took until 1888 for the Earth to reach that number. We may get up to 9 billion before the bottom falls out but to go back to that number in 200 years, or less, is amazingly depressing. What makes it worse is this, the only places that will be spared the ravages of global warming will be parts of Australia and Antarctica, and all of New Zealand. Siberia will be the only part of Russia to survive. Scandanavia and England will be the only parts of Europe to survive. Part of Greenland will survive and all of Canada will make it. The only part of the US that will make it will be Alaska. On those stretches of land we're going to have to feed and house a billion people in massively compressed high-rise Bladerunner-style cities. Did I neglect to mention that under these conditions we're probably all going to be vegetarians because we won't be able to spare the land to mass-manufacture meat? We're probably going to lose the dairy industry for the same reason, which means that ham and cheese sandwiches are going to become a memory too. Let's pause right here for a second and talk about Dr Grey.
Dr Grey is a gerontologist in England. A gerontologist is someone who studies aging. He is convinced that we're thisclose to immortality. Specifically he thinks that we're 15 years away from the first major breakthroughs in life extension. The way he explains it the first breakthroughs will give us enough time to be around for the next breakthrough after that and so on. Well thanks to stem cell research, he's right. The technology now exists for us to clone our own organs from mice instead of from human embyros. Say you're 50 now and in 10 years when you're 60 you spring for a new set of lungs and a heart made from your own DNA. Heart/lung transplants go on routinely. I watched one on the Discovery Channel a few years ago. It's a scary procedure to watch but the real danger is afterwards as everyone tensely waits to see if the body will accept the new organs. If the DNA isn't yours it probably won't. The procedure itself is quite do-able if the patient is healthy. So now we can transplant organs the body won't reject. You're 60 years old in 2019 and you have the healthy heart and lungs of your 18 year old self. How much longer would you live in a healthy fashion? 30 years easily, and depending on your lifestyle you'll make 120 smoothly. With stem cell cloning we can replace everything except the brain.
Dr Grey basically asserts that humans are machines and organs are like parts that keep the machine going. If you replace the parts on a regular basis with new parts then death can be postponed for enough time that aging can literally be stopped on the cellular level. That's his ultimate goal is to keep cells reproducing in a healthy way (eg. non-cancerously). Part of the maintenance process involves taking huge amounts of vitamin supplements, hormones, and amino acids as well as keeping up with a healthy diet and exercise routine. That by itself will get you to 100-120 according to the Life Extension Foundation but organ replacement is still going to become necessary at some point.
Do I even have to ask what this has to with us this time?
Okay, simply put, here it is. Every day you and I live with a maelstrom of bad news. The economy is getting worse and The War on Terror seems to have crawled to a standstill. Our only two options appear to be either believe in nothing (nihilism) or believe in the impossible. When you believe in nothing you set into motion what Sigmund Freud called, "The Death Impulse". What this means is that you subconciously start to do things that will insure that your body breaks down and you end up dead (eg. bad habits combined with a lazy sedentary lifestyle). Let's talk about the impossible for a minute.
In a short film that he made, Kevin Smith brought up a brilliant point. He said that in 1960 JFK declared that in a decade men would be walking on the moon. The President had no scientific proof to justify this. At that time there were some sputniks, dogs, and chimps orbiting the Earth. John Glenn didn't even become the first man to orbit the Earth until 1962. Just under the bell, in the summer of 1969, men walked on the moon. JFK didn't "know" in any emprical sense of the word that this was going to happen. He believed in the impossible and he made the people that knew how to do it believe in it as well before he was killed in 1963. Only 66 years before men walked on the moon, two brothers who repaired bicycles for a living built a rickety aeroplane and launched it from Kitty Hawk. The thing only stayed in the air for 59 seconds, travelling a distance of 852 feet, but it paved the way for flying machines that could be controlled. And that led to the moon.
That's one example of believing in the impossible.
Here's another one. In the early 1980's the Atomic Clock hung at two minutes to midnight. The Atomic Clock was a device used by scientists to determine how close we were to a nuclear war. Two minutes to midnight meant that it wasn't a quesiton of if but when. Then a short movie came out in 1982 called If You Love This Planet. The film laid out what exactly would happen if a nuclear war took place. It makes the effects of global warming look pretty good by comparison. In 1986, the Premier of the Soviet Union, Mikhail Gorbachev, said to President Reagan that they should scrap all of their nuclear weapons. Reagan said no. Gorbachev chose to believe in the impossible, which was to singlehandedly prevent the possibility of a nuclear war without America's co-operation. He achieved this by setting his people free and dismantling The Soviet Union. This in turn killed the possibility of a nuclear war. America still claims to have won The Cold War but the real winner was sanity thanks to Gorbachev. No one now realistically worries about a global holocaust that only a generation ago was considered to be a sure thing by the leading lights in the scientific community.
A lot of scientists seem to believe the Earth is doomed due to global warming if this article in NewScientist is anything to go by, but yet Dr Suzuki isn't one of them. He still thinks it isn't too late to get the carbon emissions under control. He still thinks it isn't too late to get the carbon dioxide levels in the ocean back under 350ppm. (Currently they're at 387ppm). He still lectures all over the place under the belief that we can still save Africa, Asia, South America, the US, Europe, and the polar ice caps. Right now he's the one that believes in the impossible. Watching Dr Suzuki is like watching Joe Montana getting blitzed in his own end zone. It may not look good but it's still Joe Montana and if anyone can throw a Hail Mary Pass in the final seconds to win the SuperBowl it's him.
And let's not forget Dr Grey. Is there anything more impossible than believing that people who are currently 55 or younger will live to be 1000 years old? Again science is on his side and all we have to do is stop thinking of him as Dr Frankenstein and watch his lectures on Google Video.
When you think about it we've been believing in the impossible all along. Somebody had to come up with a plan to build the pyramids in Egypt. We still don't know how they did it but they're there and that means somebody believed in the impossible thousands of years ago. How many decades did it take for people outside the scientific community to believe in evolution? It took from 1859 to 1926 for evolution to be taught in American high schools. 1859 was when The Origin of the Species was first published by Charles Darwin. 1926 was when the jury in the Scopes Monkey Trial decided that The Book of Genesis didn't adequately explain where people came from and that evolution should be taught.
David Suzuki and Aubrey de Grey are the latest madmen to tell us that something really big is right around the corner. In fact Dr Suzuki had two messages. He was one of the first to raise awareness in the the issue of global warming in the first place, and he seems to be the last one telling us that it's not too late. Somewhere in the dictionary the terms "balls" and "optimism" must be synonymous. What kind of impossibilities do you believe in? Can you believe that you'll survive the recession? Can you believe that you don't need a partner because you're already "complete"? Can you believe that things will get better? Can you? If you can then that's the first step towards believing in the impossible and you know what they say about journeys? They start with a single step.
And if you're not afraid to believe then that step will carry you for a thousand years.
All over the world.